Current community forecast
Marcellinus Marvel Fatolosja 35.5%+17.6ptLeader of 31 outcomes
Forecasters
27
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Aug 8, 26, 6:15 AM UTCSep 15, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to rank 1 of OSN Informatika SMA/MA 2026.
- If the rank 1 is tied among N people, each will be resolved multi with 100/N percent.
- The semifinal qualifiers are:
- 1 the named outcome
- 2 the named outcome
- 3 the named outcome
Open markets
Sports
KALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
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- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad??
- Manifold Markets prices Marcellinus Marvel Fatolosja at 36% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad? resolve?
- Who will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Who will win #1 Gold Medal in the 2026 Indonesia National Informatics Olympiad? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to rank 1 of OSN Informatika SMA/MA 2026.