Which actor will play the Sixteenth Doctor Who?
One-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Billie Piper (81.5%)
Resolved: Jun 1, 2025, 4:43 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Billie Piper
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Current community forecastBillie Piper 81.5%Leader of 31 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 71 days ago
StaleMar 10, 25, 8:48 PMJun 1, 25, 4:43 AM
Probability Timeline
David Tennant (Again)0.3%
Matt Smith (Again)0.2%
Peter Capaldi (Again)0.1%
Lydia West0.2%
Olly Alexander0.3%
Michael Sheen0.5%
Omari Douglas0.3%
Lenny Henry0.4%
Michaela Coel0.9%
T'Nia Miller0.5%
Hugh Grant0.5%
Ben Daniels0.5%
Richard Hearne0.2%
Bernard Cribbins0.3%
Fulton Mackay0.3%
Alan Cumming0.7%
Bill Nighy0.7%
Brian Blessed0.6%
Christopher Eccleston (Again)0.4%
Eliezer Yudkowsky0.3%
Josh O'Connor0.5%
Jack Lowden0.6%
Lashana Lynch0.7%
Martin Freeman0.9%
Danny Dyer1%
Idris Elba0.9%
Toby Jones1.2%
Diane Morgan1.2%
Joanna Lumley1.3%
Billie Piper81.5%
Other2.2%
81.5%
2.2%
1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which actor will play the Sixteenth Doctor Who??
- Manifold Markets prices Billie Piper at 82% as of June 10, 2026.
- When does Which actor will play the Sixteenth Doctor Who? resolve?
- Which actor will play the Sixteenth Doctor Who? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2025.