Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastCONCACAF (North America, Central America, Caribbean) 30.1%+2.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 29, 26, 2:08 PMJul 5, 94, 9:32 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
CONCACAF (North America, Central America, Caribbean)30%
Volume trend
$56Jul 192d of dataJul 20
Related Markets
2030 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers
$1.6KCape Verde: 65%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$1.3KGermany: 6.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich player will score the winning goal in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? [ADD ANSWERS]
$414.8Lionel Messi: 0.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Kylian Mbappe Total FIFA World Cup Career Goals
$190.835+ Goals Scored: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the 2030 Men's World Cup Tournament have 64 teams?
$153.5Yes: 74%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Pulisic play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$100Yes: 66.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
OpenAI quietly adds Kalshi World Cup odds to ChatGPT: ReportCointelegraph
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindesk
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball odds hold at 50% as Golden Boot race heats upBlockchain.NewsRules
The only confederations with national teams to have won the World Cup are UEFA (Europe) with 12 wins, and CONMEBOL (South America) with 10 wins.
- The first confederation other than those two confederations to have a national team that wins the FIFA World Cup will resolve YES.