Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastMercedes 84.9%+1.8ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Feb 2, 26, 10:16 PMDec 13, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.5%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Mercedes85%
Compare venues· Mercedes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall88% match · verified | High | 86% | — | $101.2K | $1.9M | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
 Kalshi80% match · linked | High | 82% | — | $16.1K | $1.2M | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
 Futuur85% match · linked | Low | 82% | — | $0 | $6.2K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
 Limitless80% match · linked | Low | 85% | — | $0 | $0 | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 85% | — | — | — | 18 minutes ago | |
| Manifold Markets88% match · linked | — | 84% | — | — | — | 40 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold Markets88% match · linked | — | 85% | — | — | — | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
F1 Constructors' Champion
0.8 pts4mo
-3.0pt87.8%
+0.4pt11.2%
+0.8pt1%
+9 more outcomes
89 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$28.1M
24h Vol$101.2K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Which team will win the F1 2026 Constructors’ Championship (WCC) ?
5mo
+2.0pt84.8%
-1.8pt10%
-0.1pt1.2%
+8 more outcomes
Community forecast27 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Formula 1 World Constructors Championship (WCC)
5mo
83.5%
10%
1.6%
+9 more outcomes
Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Futuur
Formula 1 Constructors Champion
4mo
82%
10%
8%
39 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$207.6
24h Vol$0
FUTUURAlso available on Kalshi
F1 Constructors Champion
4mo
76.6%
13.1%
1.9%
+8 more outcomes
85 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$16.1K
KALSHIAlso available on Limitless
F1 Constructors' Champion
8mo
85.2%
50%
50%
+5 more outcomes
22 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$5.8K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESSRules
Resolution criteria
- The team with the most championship points at the end of the 2026 season becomes the Constructors' Champion.
- Points are awarded to the top 10 finishers at each Grand Prix, with 25 points for the winner, scaling down to 18, 15, 12, 10, 8, 6, 4, 2, and 1 point for 10th place.
- Additional points are available for the top eight finishers in Sprint races.
- The 2026 season will feature 24 Grand Prix weekends, starting with the Australian Grand Prix and concluding with the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
- Resolution will be determined by the official FIA Formula One World Championship standings at the conclusion of the season.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.4k88.7%POLYMARKETWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago$2.7k99.7%POLYMARKETWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago
POLYMARKETWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago$4.0k88.9%POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesKetabi2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesKetabi2d ago$2.7k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago$2.7k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago
POLYMARKETWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — NoBigggggggg2d ago$7.5k87.0%POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesPatek1415d ago
POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesPatek1415d ago$3.1k85.0%POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesKetabi5d ago
POLYMARKETWill Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — YesKetabi5d ago$2.9k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — Nodeanchristine7d ago
POLYMARKETWill Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — Nodeanchristine7d agoVolume trend
$118Jul 262d of dataJul 27
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Resolution criteria
- The team with the most championship points at the end of the 2026 season becomes the Constructors' Champion.
- Points are awarded to the top 10 finishers at each Grand Prix, with 25 points for the winner, scaling down to 18, 15, 12, 10, 8, 6, 4, 2, and 1 point for 10th place.
- Additional points are available for the top eight finishers in Sprint races.
- The 2026 season will feature 24 Grand Prix weekends, starting with the Australian Grand Prix and concluding with the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.
- Resolution will be determined by the official FIA Formula One World Championship standings at the conclusion of the season.