Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTribe Switch 80.6%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+10.6 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 23, 26, 11:03 AM UTCDec 17, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
In the trailer for season 51, Jeff said, "For the first time ever, our entire history — every advantage, every idol, every twist we've ever done, 50 seasons of Survivor — is in play".
- Here is a curated list of past twists that could come back.
- If there is ambiguity in the rules of what would resolve for some of these twists, I will provide a more thorough set of rules in the comments.
- If you believe these twists need further explanation, please tag me in the comments.
- On Adding Answers:
- I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers]?
- Manifold Markets prices Tribe Switch at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers] resolve?
- Which previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers] is scheduled to resolve on December 17, 2026.
- How is Which previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: In the trailer for season 51, Jeff said, "For the first time ever, our entire history — every advantage, every idol, every twist we've ever done, 50 seasons of Survivor — is in play".
