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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Which countries will lead group stage at the FIFA World Cup? (At any round)
Manifold Markets

Which countries will lead group stage at the FIFA World Cup? (At any round)

SportsOne-OffSoccerFIFA World Cup22d
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Mexíco 100%
Leader of 48 outcomes
Forecasters

43

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 17, 26, 8:27 AMJul 11, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Croatia16%

Rules

Resolves yes if the country leads their respective group at any point during group stage after each round finishes.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves no if they never lead
  • Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the case of joint leaders, official FIFA tiebreak rules will be used to determine the sole leader.

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Rules

Resolves yes if the country leads their respective group at any point during group stage after each round finishes.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolves no if they never lead
  • Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the case of joint leaders, official FIFA tiebreak rules will be used to determine the sole leader.