Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAfter week 3 76.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 17, 26, 11:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves based on the week that QB Fernando Mendoza gets his first regular season start.
- For the purposes of this market a start is a game in which he begins the game as his teams starting QB.
- Listed options are non inclusive (if his first start is week 6, then the named outcome would resolve NO).
- Multiple options can resolve YES and options will immediately resolve YES if the listed week passes without him having made a start.
- Listed options are all in 2026 and if he never starts in 2026 all will resolve YES.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Fernando Mendoza get his first regular season start??
- Manifold Markets prices After week 3 at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Fernando Mendoza get his first regular season start? resolve?
- When will Fernando Mendoza get his first regular season start? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is When will Fernando Mendoza get his first regular season start? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on the week that QB Fernando Mendoza gets his first regular season start.