Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTadej Pogacar 66.5%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-2.9 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 9, 26, 6:39 PM UTCJul 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
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Manifold MarketsWill Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRules
Resolves to the winner of the general classification of the 2027 Tour de France, as awarded immediately after the final stage.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tour de France 2027 Winner?
- Manifold Markets prices Tadej Pogacar at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tour de France 2027 Winner resolve?
- Tour de France 2027 Winner is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2027.
- How is Tour de France 2027 Winner settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the winner of the general classification of the 2027 Tour de France, as awarded immediately after the final stage.