Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecastPortugal Win 51.4%+5.9%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJun 29, 26, 5:12 PMJul 6, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Portugal Win51%
Also available on Limitless
World Cup, Portugal vs Croatia
1d
55.9%
19.1%
25.8%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
Portugal vs. Croatia
1.4%19h
+1.4%56%
-0.9%27%
-0.3%18%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$571.3K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the outcome of the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 knockout match between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026, at Toronto Stadium (BMO Field).
- Portugal: Resolves to YES if Portugal wins the match and advances to the Round of 16.
- Croatia: Resolves to YES if Croatia wins the match and advances to the Round of 16.
- Resolution will be determined by the final official result, including extra time and penalty shootouts if required to produce a winner.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the official FIFA match center or major sports broadcasting networks such as ESPN and Fox Sports.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the outcome of the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 knockout match between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026, at Toronto Stadium (BMO Field).
- Portugal: Resolves to YES if Portugal wins the match and advances to the Round of 16.
- Croatia: Resolves to YES if Croatia wins the match and advances to the Round of 16.
- Resolution will be determined by the final official result, including extra time and penalty shootouts if required to produce a winner.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the official FIFA match center or major sports broadcasting networks such as ESPN and Fox Sports.