What are the current odds for In 5 years will I think the org Conjecture was net good for alignment??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57.1% as of October 7, 2026.

In 5 years will I think the org Conjecture was net good for alignment?

One-Off1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 57.1%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 16 hours ago

Stale

Dec 18, 22, 8:22 PM UTCDec 18, 27, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

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