If the Room-Temperature Superconductor is not real, will calculating a 2048-bit RSA Key Cost <$1000 in 2030?
WeatherDaily4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.2%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 23, 8:29 PM UTCJan 2, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This is a conditional market 'Conditional if Not A then B', where 'A' is the room-temp-superconductor-real question on polymarket.com, and 'B' is the less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key market on metaculus.com
- The resolution of this question is not applicable (N/A) unless the final outcome of this Polymarket market is 'No': https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real
- Otherwise, this question will resolve according to this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/607/will-it-cost-less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key-from-a-2048-bit-pgp-public-key-in-2030/
- The corresponding conditional market can be found here: https://manifold.markets/ruttar/if-the-roomtemperature-superconduct
