What are the current odds for CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of June 2, 2026.

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025?

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (98.2%)

Resolved: Dec 9, 2025, 6:37 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Winning Outcome

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

—

Current community forecast

No 98.2%

Forecasters

136

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 79 days ago

Stale

Aug 11, 25, 9:50 AMDec 9, 25, 6:37 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes1.8%

No98.2%

98.2%

Yes

1.8%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025??: Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of June 2, 2026.
When does CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025? resolve?: CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by Dec 1, 2025? is scheduled to resolve on December 9, 2025.