Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastSpain 25.3%+4.9%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 7:42 PMJul 31, 28, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Spain25%
Compare venues· Spain
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall75% match · auto | Medium | 21% | — | $10.5K | $2.9M | 9 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 25% | — | — | — | 9 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
1.5%
50%
50%
50%
+63 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.9K
24h Vol$10.5K
POLYMARKETRules
Which team will win the 2028 UEFA European Football Championship?
- UEFA Euro 2028 - Wikipedia
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$71Jul 185d of dataJul 22
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