Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastMax Verstappen 32%+21.3ptLeader of 24 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+21.3 pts
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleOct 29, 26, 3:02 AM UTCNov 28, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix: pole position
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Manifold Markets2026 Qatar Grand Prix: race winner
Manifold MarketsMexican Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
PolymarketMexican Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position
PolymarketRules
2026 Qatar Grand Prix — pole position
- Resolves to the driver classified first in qualifying.
- Grid penalties applied afterwards don't count. "the named outcome" covers a stand-in who wasn't in the field when the market opened.
- Resolves N/A if the session is cancelled.
- Created and resolved automatically by @ManifoldSports from the data feed's classification 2 hours after the market closes, so the stewards' decisions by then count.
- Later changes don't reopen the market.
