Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 PM
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 22, 2026, 8:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Geelong to finish in the top four21.5%
Sydney to finish in the top six95%
Bulldogs to finish in the top six0%
Brisbane and Geelong to each start 0-20%
Port Adelaide to be on top of the ladder at the end of Round 50%
North Melbourne to finish in the top ten1.1%
Sydney to win the minor premiership0.9%
Ben King to win the Coleman Medal0%
Any Daicos wins the Brownlow.100%
Patrick Dangerfield gets through the rest of the year without appearing on Cats injury list0%
Nick Daicos polls more than 45 Brownlow votes100%
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Rules
Users are welcome to add relevant options to the market.
- I may edit user-submitted options for the sake of clarity.
- I will not substantially change the meaning of any option that has already been traded on.
- I reserve the right to void user-submitted options for any reason.
- Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market will resolve YES if the proposition proves correct by the end of the 2026 AFL home-and-away season.
