Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 57.5%
No 57.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 1:51 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case).
- An expulsion will count once it is officially imposed and announced, regardless of whether it is later appealed or overturned.
If the 2026-27 Premier League season is not completed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", unless Manchester City FC has been expelled by that date.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
