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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will Man Utd spend €220M+ in the summer 2026 transfer window?
Will Man Utd spend €220M+ in the summer 2026 transfer window?

Will Man Utd spend €220M+ in the summer 2026 transfer window?

One-OffSportsSoccerBusiness & Corporate2mo
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 50%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Apr 3, 26, 10:33 AMSep 3, 26, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes50%

Rules

This market will resolve to "YES" if Manchester United spends €220 million or more on incoming transfers during the summer 2026 transfer window, as shown on the Transfermarkt transfers page for this specific club.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."

    The transfer spend will be determined using the "Sum" value shown at the bottom of the Arrivals section (incoming transfers) on Transfermarkt for Manchester United's transfers page (https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/manchester-united/transfers/verein/985/plus/?saison_id=2026&pos=&detailpos=&w_s=s), after clicking "Display," with the following filters applied:

    Season: 2026/27

    Position: All positions

    Main position: All positions

    Transfer date: Summer transfers only

    This value will be taken from the page at 12:00 UTC on September 3, 2026.

    If the Transfermarkt page is unavailable for 72 hours after this time, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "YES" if Manchester United spends €220 million or more on incoming transfers during the summer 2026 transfer window, as shown on the Transfermarkt transfers page for this specific club.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."

    The transfer spend will be determined using the "Sum" value shown at the bottom of the Arrivals section (incoming transfers) on Transfermarkt for Manchester United's transfers page (https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/manchester-united/transfers/verein/985/plus/?saison_id=2026&pos=&detailpos=&w_s=s), after clicking "Display," with the following filters applied:

    Season: 2026/27

    Position: All positions

    Main position: All positions

    Transfer date: Summer transfers only

    This value will be taken from the page at 12:00 UTC on September 3, 2026.

    If the Transfermarkt page is unavailable for 72 hours after this time, another credible resolution source may be chosen.