Current implied probability
No 87.5%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.6
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Apr 10, 26, 2:07 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Portugal again in 2026?
PolymarketCristiano Ronaldo: Next Club
KalshiWill Cristiano Ronaldo be with Al Nassr at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCristiano Ronaldo to score 1000 career goals?
FutuurWhere will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?
Kalshi⚽ Will Cristiano Ronaldo and Leo Messi ever again play in the same COMPETITIVE match?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo officially announces his retirement from club soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Ronaldo is retiring from club-level professional soccer.
- The announcement must come from Ronaldo himself or his official representatives.
Retirement from international soccer alone will not qualify.
The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next club season following the announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Cristiano Ronaldo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 12%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 12% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread