Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
↑ $770 67.3%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 31 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 9:27 AMSep 4, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Rules
↑ $790 · ↓ $765 · ↓ $755 · ↑ $795 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $780 · ↓ $760 · ↓ $735 · ↑ $785 · ↓ $750 · ↑ $800 · ↑ $775.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered.
- Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits.
- Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
- Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for ↓ $765 is 100%. Quotes span about 50 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference ↓ $765 100% · 2 venues · 50 pt venue spread
Open markets
Crypto
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in August?
- ↑ 75,000+77.7pt100%
- ↑ 72,500+88.0pt100%
- ↑ 65,000+13.4pt100%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,500 or above99%
- $68,250 or above99%
- $70,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $902.6K
- 24h Vol
- $897.1K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 31?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 70,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+0.4pt99%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above97%
- $72,000 or above+2.0pt97%
- $69,000 or above+1.0pt97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $850.2K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Ethereum hit in August?
- ↑ 2,200+92.5pt100%
- ↑ 1,900+8.4pt100%
- ↑ 2,400+49.5pt100%
+40 more outcomes
- Ethereum above ___ on August 31?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?
- How high will BTC get in August?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 1?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 2?
- What price will XRP hit in August?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Ethereum Up or Down on August 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026??
- Limitless prices ↑ $770 at 67% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026? resolve?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026? settled?
- Limitless settles this market as follows: ↑ $790 · ↓ $765 · ↓ $755 · ↑ $795 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $780 · ↓ $760 · ↓ $735 · ↑ $785 · ↓ $750 · ↑ $800 · ↑ $775. <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.
- Where else is What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.