Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 93.7%
Yes 93.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 9:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and ShindeN in the ESL Pro League Season 24 2026, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against ShindeN.
This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win the match against Spirit.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.
If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against ShindeN.
This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win the match against Spirit.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.
If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
