Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 3:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 80.7%
Yes 80.7%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:05 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Spirit vs 1WIN: Map 1 Winner
LimitlessCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Polymarket1WIN vs. Spirit
KalshiWill Team Spirit Make a Roster Change by December 31?
PolymarketSpirit vs 1WIN
LimitlessLoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and 1WIN in the ESL Pro League Season 24 2026, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against 1WIN.
This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 2 against Spirit.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against 1WIN.
This market will resolve to "1WIN" if 1WIN win Map 2 against Spirit.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — 1WIN vs. Spirit: Map 2 · Spirit 82%
