Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 64.5%
Yes 64.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 17, 26, 12:04 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 1:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonay Kartal and Kimberly Birrell in the WTA Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 01:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Kimberly Birrell.
- This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Sonay Kartal.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Japan Women's Open: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell · Set 1 Winner: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell — Sonay Kartal 66%
