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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. ETF
  3. S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Weekly
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Weekly

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Weekly

ETFWeeklyForeign ExchangeEquities5d
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 55.5%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jun 12, 26, 8:00 PMJun 18, 26, 8:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes56%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 18, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 11, 2026.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $737.95001.


    Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

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Manifold Markets

Will the S&P500 be within 1% of all time high at the end of June 2026?

$7.8
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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$63,504.41-0.23%EthereumETH$1,663.58-1.13%XRPXRP$1.13-1.29%SolanaSOL$66.52-0.85%BNBBNB$602.62-0.38%CardanoADA$0.1693-0.86%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 18, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 11, 2026.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on June 11, 2026, was $737.95001.


    Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.