Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 91.5%
No 91.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 1:43 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 2:30 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti in the ATP Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
- This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti · Completed Match 97%
