Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 14, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 50.5%
No 50.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 11:00 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Diana Shnaider in the WTA Wuhan Open, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 03:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Diana Shnaider.
- This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Karolina Muchova.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider · Muchova vs. Shnaider: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 72%