Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 66%
Yes 66%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 17, 26, 11:56 AM UTCOct 20, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Hugo Gaston in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 08:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Jacob Fearnley' if Jacob Fearnley advances against Hugo Gaston.
- This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Jacob Fearnley.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — European Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Hugo Gaston · Jacob Fearnley 66%