Current implied probability
Yes 91.5%
Yes 91.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 10:46 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 4:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
- This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
