Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 18, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 54.8%
No 54.8%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 17, 26, 9:03 PM UTCOct 19, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
PolymarketAurora Gaming vs Team Falcons
LimitlessAurora Gaming vs Team Falcons: Map 2 Winner
LimitlessTeam Falcons vs. Aurora Gaming
KalshiCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
PolymarketMobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Omega Esports (BO5) - MPL Philippines Playoffs
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 UTC).
This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against Team Falcons.
This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming.
If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1.
If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 UTC).
- If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played.
- Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Team Falcons vs. Aurora Gaming: Map 1 Winner · Team Falcons 54%