Current implied probability
Yes 89.5%
Yes 89.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 12:00 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Pavel Kotov.
- This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Arthur Fils.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
