Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 29, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
No 70.5%
No 70.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 28, 26, 10:01 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 4:03 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul in the ATP Japan Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Tommy Paul.
- This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alejandro Tabilo.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul · Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 82%
