Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Yes 50.5%
Yes 50.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 10, 26, 6:00 AM UTCOct 12, 26, 11:30 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
PolymarketAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe: Exact Match Score
KalshiAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 1 Winner
KalshiAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 2 Winner
KalshiAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe: Game Spread
KalshiPalermo: Jonas Forejtek vs Alejandro Moro Canas
PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe in the ATP Shanghai Masters, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 02:00 UTC.
- This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Frances Tiafoe.
- This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe · Fokina vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over 85%