KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below $1.30 45%Market line of 8 lines
Below $1.30 45%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$84
Open interest
$84
Low open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:10 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
Rules for each outcome
- Below $1.40
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $1.30
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $1.20
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.20, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $1.10
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.10, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $1.00
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $1.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $0.90
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $0.90, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $0.80
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $0.80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below $0.70
- If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $0.70, then the market resolves to Yes.