KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.29991 or above (99%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 9:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
$1.29991 or above 99%+63.0ptLeader of 40 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$29.5K
Liquidity
$20.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
$1.29991 or above99%
$1.31991 or above1%
$1.23991 or above72%
$1.25991 or above89%
$1.27991 or above86%
$1.35991 or above10%
$1.43991 or above0%
$1.17991 or above0%
$1.33991 or above17%
$1.41991 or above6%
$1.37991 or above14%
$1.39991 or above0%
$1.15991 or above0%
$1.21991 or above77%
$1.19991 or above85%
$1.67991 or above1%
$1.55991 or above5%
$0.89991 or above0%
$0.91991 or above0%
$0.93991 or above0%
$0.95991 or above0%
$0.97991 or above0%
$0.99991 or above0%
$1.01991 or above0%
$1.03991 or above0%
$1.05991 or above0%
$1.07991 or above0%
$1.09991 or above0%
$1.11991 or above0%
$1.13991 or above0%
$1.45991 or above0%
$1.47991 or above0%
$1.49991 or above0%
$1.51991 or above0%
$1.53991 or above0%
$1.57991 or above0%
$1.59991 or above0%
$1.61991 or above0%
$1.63991 or above0%
$1.65991 or above0%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
XRP$1.3 → $1.3+0.0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
98%
97%
96%
6%
5%
5%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 0.8999 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 0.9199 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.