KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.37991 or above (99%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
$1.37991 or above 90%Leader of 75 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 5, 26, 5:00 AMSep 5, 26, 6:00 AM
Probability Timeline
$1.41991 or above1%
$1.39991 or above10%
$1.37991 or above99%
$0.65991 or above0%
$0.67991 or above0%
$0.69991 or above0%
$0.71991 or above0%
$0.73991 or above0%
$0.75991 or above0%
$0.77991 or above0%
$0.79991 or above0%
$0.81991 or above0%
$0.83991 or above0%
$0.85991 or above0%
$0.87991 or above0%
$0.89991 or above0%
$0.91991 or above0%
$0.93991 or above0%
$0.95991 or above0%
$0.97991 or above0%
$0.99991 or above0%
$1.01991 or above0%
$1.03991 or above0%
$1.05991 or above0%
$1.07991 or above0%
$1.09991 or above0%
$1.11991 or above0%
$1.13991 or above0%
$1.15991 or above0%
$1.17991 or above0%
$1.19991 or above0%
$1.21991 or above0%
$1.23991 or above0%
$1.25991 or above0%
$1.27991 or above0%
$1.29991 or above0%
$1.31991 or above0%
$1.33991 or above0%
$1.35991 or above0%
$1.43991 or above0%
$1.45991 or above0%
$1.47991 or above0%
$1.49991 or above0%
$1.51991 or above0%
$1.53991 or above0%
$1.55991 or above0%
$1.57991 or above0%
$1.59991 or above0%
$1.61991 or above0%
$1.63991 or above0%
$1.65991 or above0%
$1.67991 or above0%
$1.69991 or above0%
$1.71991 or above0%
$1.73991 or above0%
$1.75991 or above0%
$1.77991 or above0%
$1.79991 or above0%
$1.81991 or above0%
$1.83991 or above0%
$1.85991 or above0%
$1.87991 or above0%
$1.89991 or above0%
$1.91991 or above0%
$1.93991 or above0%
$1.95991 or above0%
$1.97991 or above0%
$1.99991 or above0%
$2.01991 or above0%
$2.03991 or above0%
$2.05991 or above0%
$2.07991 or above0%
$2.09991 or above0%
$2.11991 or above0%
$2.13991 or above0%
90%
9.1%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 0.6599 at 2 AM EDT on Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 2 AM EDT is above 0.6799 at 2 AM EDT on Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
