KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: $1.52 to 1.5399 (84%)
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
$1.52 to 1.5399 70.6%Leader of 40 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$4.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 20, 26, 8:00 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 9:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
$1.5 to 1.51993%
$1.48 to 1.49991%
$1.52 to 1.539984%
$1.34 to 1.35995%
$1.42 to 1.43997%
$1.46 to 1.47996%
$1.54 to 1.559911%
$1.56 to 1.57990%
$1.44 to 1.459917%
$1.4 to 1.41993%
$0.9199999 or below0%
$0.92 to 0.93990%
$0.94 to 0.95990%
$0.96 to 0.97990%
$0.98 to 0.99990%
$1 to 1.01990%
$1.02 to 1.03990%
$1.04 to 1.05990%
$1.06 to 1.07990%
$1.08 to 1.09990%
$1.1 to 1.11990%
$1.12 to 1.13990%
$1.14 to 1.15990%
$1.16 to 1.17990%
$1.18 to 1.19990%
$1.2 to 1.21990%
$1.22 to 1.23990%
$1.24 to 1.25990%
$1.26 to 1.27990%
$1.28 to 1.29990%
$1.3 to 1.31990%
$1.32 to 1.33990%
$1.36 to 1.37990%
$1.38 to 1.39990%
$1.58 to 1.59990%
$1.6 to 1.61990%
$1.62 to 1.63990%
$1.64 to 1.65990%
$1.66 to 1.67990%
$1.67991 or above0%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
XRP$1.53 → $1.53+0.0%
70.6%
9.2%
4.2%
4.2%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
0.8%
0.8%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is below 0.92000 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on a simple average of the CF Benchmarks index for the 60 seconds prior to the specified time.
- The price must meet the criterion at exactly the specified time on the target date.
- If no data is available or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
- If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 0.92000-0.9399 at 5 PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
