KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 6:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Iga Swiatek 74.3%
Iga Swiatek 74.3%Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
24.0% / 27.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 8:50 AM UTCOct 22, 26, 3:00 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiFor how many weeks in total Iga Swiatek will be ranked world’s No. 1 before she retires?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Iga Swiatek wins set 2 in the Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:WTA
- The following market refers to the Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Iga Swiatek
- If Iga Swiatek wins set 2 in the Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elise Mertens
- If Elise Mertens wins set 2 in the Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Beijing Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.