KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: New York (99%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 1:51 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
New York
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Probability Timeline
Minnesota1%
New York99%
Tie6%
New YorkWon
TieLost
MinnesotaLost
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GeminiWill Nicholas J. LaLota win the New York 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the named outcome is the winner of the 1st quarter of regulation time in the Minnesota vs the named outcome women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the specified quarter of regulation.
- Only points scored during the specified quarter of play count towards this market.
- If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the "Tie" strike resolves to Yes.
- If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within 2 days).
- If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than 2 days out, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
