GeminiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 30, 2026, 7:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Pittsburgh -2.5 in the 1st quarter 38.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Pittsburgh -2.5 in the 1st quarter 38.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 12:15 AM UTCOct 29, 26, 10:16 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Which team will cover the point spread in the 1st quarter?
- This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh covers a -2.5 point spread against Cleveland during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Cleveland scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET, meaning Pittsburgh scores more than 2.5 points more than Cleveland during the 1st quarter.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
- View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).
