KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeThis market resolved: Lionel Messi starts for Argentina (99%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 4:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lionel Messi starts for Argentina
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
98%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityLautaro Martinez starts for Argentina 1%-97.0%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
77 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$347.4K
Liquidity
$264.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 6:25 PMJul 8, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Emiliano Martinez starts for Argentina97%
Juan Musso starts for Argentina4%
Geronimo Rulli starts for Argentina3%
Cristian Romero starts for Argentina98%
Nahuel Molina starts for Argentina71%
Lautaro Martinez starts for Argentina23%
Lionel Messi starts for Argentina99%
Nicolas Tagliafico starts for Argentina96%
Leandro Paredes starts for Argentina79%
Rodrigo De Paul starts for Argentina96%
Thiago Almada starts for Argentina49%
Facundo Medina starts for Argentina18%
Nicolas Otamendi starts for Argentina10%
Nico Paz starts for Argentina1%
1%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Volume trend
$347.4kJul 44d of dataJul 7
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If Lionel Messi starts for Argentina in the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Resolution is based on the lineup and players on the field when the match begins.
- If a player is not included in the initially announced starting lineup but is in the official starting lineup at kickoff and on the field when play begins, the market resolves Yes.
- If a player is named in the starting lineup but is replaced or withdrawn before kickoff, the market resolves No.
- Substitute appearances do not count.
- If this game does not occur before Jul 8, 2026, all markets resolve to No.