KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Lionel Messi (99%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 9:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lionel Messi
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
56%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 8:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Lionel Messi 99%+46.0ptLeader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1M
Liquidity
$2.1M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 10:25 AMJul 29, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Jude Bellingham9%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Enzo Fernandez99%
Lautaro Martinez15%
Harry Kane14%
Lionel Messi99%
Elliot Anderson3%
Julian Alvarez12%
Declan Rice1%
Reece James1%
Giuliano Simeone1%
Nahuel Molina1%
Djed Spence1%
John Stones1%
Cristian Romero6%
Marc Guehi1%
Nicolas Tagliafico1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
15%
14%
12%
9%
6%
4%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026.
- If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start.
- Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the player's goals and assists recorded.
