KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina to win in Regulation Time (31%)
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, 6:25 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Argentina to win in Regulation Time
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
70%
ConsensusCurrent implied probability
Egypt to win in Regulation Time 32.7%+24.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 56 days ago
StaleJul 4, 26, 1:15 AMJul 21, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Argentina to win in Extra Time11%
Egypt to win in Regulation Time33%
Egypt to win in Penalty Shootout6%
Argentina to win in Regulation Time31%
Argentina to win in Penalty Shootout8%
Egypt to win in Extra Time3%
32.7%
30.7%
16.8%
10.9%
5.9%
3%
Rules
If Argentina advances past Egypt in the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Round Of 16 soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Regulation Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances during regulation time, which includes the standard 90 minutes of play plus all stoppage/injury time, but excludes extra time and any penalty shootout.
- Extra Time: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances after extra time is played, but before any penalty shootout occurs.
- Penalty Shootout: Resolves to Yes if the specified team advances via a penalty shootout following the completion of regulation time and extra time.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
