KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Either team to advance in Extra Time (97%)
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, 10:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Either team to advance in Extra Time
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
15%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 19, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Either team to advance in Extra Time 96%+81.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9M
Liquidity
$1.2M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 43 days ago
StaleJul 15, 26, 10:00 PMAug 2, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Either team to advance in Extra Time97%
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout3%
Either team to advance in Regulation Time1%
96%
3%
1%
Rules
If either team advances in the Spain vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Final soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Regulation Time: Resolves to Yes if either team advances via regulation time, which includes the standard 90 minutes of play plus all stoppage/injury time, but excludes extra time and any penalty shootout.
- Extra Time: Resolves to Yes if either team advances after extra time is played, but before any penalty shootout occurs.
- Penalty Shootout: Resolves to Yes if either team advances via a penalty shootout following the completion of regulation time and extra time.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If either team advances in the Spain vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Final soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026 via victory in Extra Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
