KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Either team to advance in Regulation Time (99%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 9:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Either team to advance in Regulation Time
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
65%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Either team to advance in Regulation Time 98%+33.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$645.4K
Liquidity
$405.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 12:00 PMJul 29, 26, 7:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Either team to advance in Extra Time1%
Either team to advance in Penalty Shootout1%
Either team to advance in Regulation Time99%
98%
1%
1%
Rules
If either team advances in the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Semifinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 via victory in Regulation Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Regulation Time: Resolves to Yes if either team advances via regulation time, which includes the standard 90 minutes of play plus all stoppage/injury time, but excludes extra time and any penalty shootout.
- Extra Time: Resolves to Yes if either team advances after extra time is played, but before any penalty shootout occurs.
- Penalty Shootout: Resolves to Yes if either team advances via a penalty shootout following the completion of regulation time and extra time.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- If either team advances in the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Semifinal soccer tie originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026 via victory in Extra Time, then the market resolves to Yes.
