KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityLumen Field 6%+2.0%Leader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.7K
Liquidity
$20.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
25.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 4, 26, 4:10 AMJul 21, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lumen Field6%
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If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Comeback / Come Back as part of USA vs Belgium , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the USA vs Belgium originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the USA vs Belgium originally scheduled for Jul 6, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Commentary will count following kickoff and end once the match has concluded, inclusive of extra time and/or a penalty shootout.
- Commentary will no longer count following the referee's final whistle.