KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Argentina (99%)
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, 3:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Argentina
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current implied probabilityArgentina 97.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43.9K
Liquidity
$4.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Market data
Updated 33 days ago
StaleDec 12, 25, 3:00 PMJul 11, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Argentina99%
1%
1%
97.1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Argentina
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall67% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $10.6K | $0 | 33 days ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis pageMost active | Low | 99% | — | $43.9K | $4.5K | 33 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup Group J Winner
14.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
Argentina (100%)
+14.4pt100%
-1.5pt0%
0%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.4M
24h Vol$10.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If Jordan finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Algeria finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Argentina finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Jordan finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Algeria finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Argentina finish first in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.