KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Germany (99%)
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, 1:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Germany
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
76%
ConsensusCurrent implied probabilityGermany 97.1%+24.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$556.3K
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 36 days ago
StaleDec 12, 25, 3:00 PMJul 11, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Germany99%
Ivory Coast22%
Ecuador1%
97.1%
1%
1%
1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Germany
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 99% | — | $556.3K | $8K | 36 days ago | |
 Polymarket67% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $18.4K | $0 | 36 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
World Cup Group E Winner
24.4 ptsClosed
Resolved
Germany (100%)
+24.4pt100%
-0.2pt0%
-3.4pt0%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$1.8M
24h Vol$18.4K
POLYMARKETRules
If Curacao finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Ivory Coast finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ecuador finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Curacao finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If teams are tied on points, the group winner is determined according to the official FIFA World Cup tiebreak criteria.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
- If Ivory Coast finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ecuador finish first in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.