KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Erling Haaland: 1+ (22%)
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, 10:26 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Erling Haaland: 1+
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
49%
SurpriseCurrent implied probability
Erling Haaland: 1+ 22%-27.0ptLeader of 39 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8M
Liquidity
$7.5M
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 57 days ago
StaleJun 30, 26, 9:06 PMJul 19, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Erling Haaland: 1+22%
Vinicius Junior: 1+18%
Bruno Guimaraes: 1+1%
Erling Haaland: 2+1%
Vinicius Junior: 2+11%
Matheus Cunha: 1+24%
Martin Odegaard: 1+12%
Gabriel Magalhaes: 1+5%
Antonio Nusa: 1+11%
Marquinhos: 1+4%
Casemiro: 1+10%
Erling Haaland: 3+1%
Vinicius Junior: 3+4%
Matheus Cunha: 2+8%
Sander Berge: 1+6%
Douglas Santos: 1+2%
Martin Odegaard: 2+1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+1%
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+8%
Antonio Nusa: 2+5%
Alexander Sorloth: 1+17%
Rayan: 1+10%
Danilo: 1+6%
Gabriel Martinelli: 2+3%
Kristoffer Ajer: 1+3%
Bruno Guimaraes: 2+2%
Endrick: 1+17%
Patrick Berg: 1+1%
David Moller Wolfe: 1+2%
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+6%
Neymar: 1+16%
Danilo Oliveira: 1+9%
22%
18%
17%
16%
9%
8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
Rules
If Bruno Guimaraes records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to a player in the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026.
- If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start.
- Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the player's goals scored.
- If Casemiro records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Douglas Santos records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Brazil vs Norway professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
