KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tie (87%)
Resolved: Jun 16, 2026, 12:08 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
21%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityTie 86.1%+65.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$38.1M
Liquidity
$245.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 41 days ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 6:27 PMJun 29, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Uruguay12%
Tie87%
Saudi Arabia2%
2%
11.9%
86.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Tie
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 87% | — | $38.1M | $245.9K | 41 days ago | |
 Polymarket73% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $10.5M | $0 | 40 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay
65.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Draw (Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay) (100%)
+77.5pt100%
-12.4pt0%
-65.5pt0%
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$25.8M
24h Vol$10.5M
POLYMARKETRules
If Saudi Arabia wins the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Saudi Arabia wins the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.