KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedThis market resolved: Tie (85%)
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, 9:58 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Tie
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
26%
SurpriseCurrent implied probabilityTie 85%+58.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$42.1M
Liquidity
$319.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 42 days ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 6:27 PMJun 28, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Tie85%
Netherlands8%
Japan7%
8%
7%
85%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Tie
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Low | 85% | — | $42.1M | $319.7K | 42 days ago | |
 Polymarket80% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $8.6M | $0 | 41 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Netherlands vs. Japan
47.5 ptsClosed
Resolved
Draw (Netherlands vs. Japan) (100%)
+73.5pt100%
-25.4pt0%
-47.5pt0%
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$28.4M
24h Vol$8.6M
POLYMARKETRules
If Netherlands wins the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
2030 FIFA World Cup Champion
$16.7KSpain: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which team will win the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$13.6KSpain: 18.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahce
$5.5KFenerbahce advances: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Tiraspol
$5.4KMaccabi Tel Aviv advances: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
$750Yes: 9.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country outside Europe and South America will be the first to win the men’s FIFA World Cup?
$500USA: 10.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds: Kane jumps to 41% in 2026 Ballon d'Or marketBlockchain.News
Worldcoin’s WLD Jumps 8% on Grayscale ETF FilingDecrypt
Grayscale files for Worldcoin ETF as WLD price breaks higherCrypto News
Grayscale could take Worldcoin to Wall Street after ETF filing with the SECThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakoutCoindeskRules
If Netherlands wins the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Netherlands vs Japan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).
- If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes.
- If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA.
- Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.