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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Furthest Advancing European Nation
Furthest Advancing European Nation

Furthest Advancing European Nation

9.0% (24h)One-OffSportsSoccerFIFA World Cup1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
France
France 30%+9.0%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality

36 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$281.8

Liquidity

$720.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

21.0% / 25.0%

Spread

19.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

May 18, 26, 9:00 PMAug 2, 26, 10:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

France30%

Rules

If France is the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based on the European nation that advances to the furthest stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
  • Applicable stages: Group Stage Round of 32 Round of 16 Quarterfinals Semifinals Lose the Final Win the Final
  • If multiple European nations tie for the furthest stage advanced to, payouts will be as follows: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
  • For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
  • European (UEFA) Nations Competing in the World Cup: France, Spain, England, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Czechia, Switzerland, Türkiye, Sweden, Austria, Scotland

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Rules

If France is the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market resolves based on the European nation that advances to the furthest stage in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
  • Applicable stages: Group Stage Round of 32 Round of 16 Quarterfinals Semifinals Lose the Final Win the Final
  • If multiple European nations tie for the furthest stage advanced to, payouts will be as follows: Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
  • For settlement purposes, a country is considered part of a continent based on the FIFA World Cup qualification pathway it competes through, rather than strict geographic borders.
  • European (UEFA) Nations Competing in the World Cup: France, Spain, England, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Czechia, Switzerland, Türkiye, Sweden, Austria, Scotland